“Muted” Fall Rebound Expected in Cattle Markets

US – Fed cattle prices aren't expected to show any fall resurgence, despite price trends through 2015 running close to “textbook” year.
calendar icon 10 August 2015
clock icon 1 minute read

This is according to John D. Anderson, deputy chief economist at the American Farm Bureau Federation, who said increased competition from other proteins and imported beef trim are bearish factors.

He said a strong dollar means a “pretty tough” export market.

Examining weekly price data from the past decade, he noted how an average spring peak in week 16 and a summer low in week 29 had been followed this year with a spring peak at week 14 and a recent low in week 30.

He said: “The break from spring high to summer low was a bit on the high side. Over the past ten years, prices have declined by right at ten percent from high to low.

“This year's 13 per cent break is above average but is far from an outlier.”

He added that the futures market is anticipating fall markets to diverge from a normal seasonal uplift.

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